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My personal musings about anything that gets on my radar screen--heavily dominated by politics.

2008-07-28

Oh, No . . . An Anti-Bounce? 

But I thought this one, little trip abroad was supposed to "reassure" voters.

Republican presidential candidate John McCain moved from being behind by 6 points among "likely" voters a month ago to a 4-point lead over Democrat Barack Obama among that group in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll. McCain still trails slightly among the broader universe of "registered" voters. By both measures, the race is tight.

The Friday-Sunday poll, mostly conducted as Obama was returning from his much-publicized overseas trip and released just this hour, shows McCain now ahead 49%-45% among voters that Gallup believes are most likely to go to the polls in November. In late June, he was behind among likely voters, 50%-44%.

Now, to be sure, this is just one poll, and Gallup has a history of being among the most volatile of polls at this stage. So take this with a grain of salt.

But . . . I think it's safe to say that, in spite of his clear stylistic advantage, and in spite of fawning . . . nay, worshipful . . . coverage by the "professional journalist" class, Obama (as Bob Novak pointed out) has not closed the deal.

And, I would like to think, will not. Every time between now and November that voters go to fill up their tanks and have to fork out upwards of $50, they're going to remember who was NOT working hard to make that situation better. In fact, if Republicans were smart, EVERY advertisement between now and September would point out that the Democrats in Congress went on their vacations rather than solve the problem--and when they were at work, they REFUSED to solve the problem.

But its been a while since anyone accused the Republicans of being smart.
Posted by: Michael / 7/28/2008 11:07:00 PM

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