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My personal musings about anything that gets on my radar screen--heavily dominated by politics.

2007-06-22

Climate Change IS A Real Threat . . .

just not the one that's got Democrats reaching into your lifestyles.

I've skipped over some of the scientific methodology to get to the important stuff:

Using computers to conduct what is referred to as a "time series analysis" on the colouration and thickness of the annual layers, we have discovered repeated cycles in marine productivity in this, a region larger than Europe. Specifically, we find a very strong and consistent 11-year cycle throughout the whole record in the sediments and diatom remains. This correlates closely to the well-known 11-year "Schwabe" sunspot cycle, during which the output of the sun varies by about 0.1%. . . .

In the sediment, diatom and fish-scale records, we also see longer period cycles, all correlating closely with other well-known regular solar variations. In particular, we see marine productivity cycles that match well with the sun's 75-90-year "Gleissberg Cycle," the 200-500-year "Suess Cycle" and the 1,100-1,500-year "Bond Cycle." The strength of these cycles is seen to vary over time, fading in and out over the millennia. . . .

Our finding of a direct correlation between variations in the brightness of the sun and earthly climate indicators (called "proxies") is not unique. Hundreds of other studies, using proxies from tree rings in Russia's Kola Peninsula to water levels of the Nile, show exactly the same thing: The sun appears to drive climate change. . . .

Solar scientists predict that, by 2020, the sun will be starting into its weakest Schwabe solar cycle of the past two centuries, likely leading to unusually cool conditions on Earth. Beginning to plan for adaptation to such a cool period, one which may continue well beyond one 11-year cycle, as did the Little Ice Age, should be a priority for governments. It is global cooling, not warming, that is the major climate threat to the world, especially Canada.

No, really--I did skip over a lot of the scientific stuff. Trust me.

But the point is, my friends, that any decision-making process that is driven by the irrational and scientifically unprovable "fact" of global warming is simply premature and pointless.

I wonder which courageous media personality is going to challenge Al Gore next time he pops his head up about?

And, by the way, before you dismiss this as the rantings of a nutter, consider the source:

R. Timothy Patterson is professor and director of the Ottawa-Carleton Geoscience Centre, Department of Earth Sciences, Carleton University.

Sure, I've never heard of Carleton University, either. But that's still a pretty impressive vitae--certainly more credible than "used to be the next President".

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