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My personal musings about anything that gets on my radar screen--heavily dominated by politics.

2004-08-27

Starting To Turn

Five new polls have come out in the past two days, and the trend seems positive.

In a direct comparison to the most recent poll from each organization, this polling cycle shows the President picking up an average of 2.2 points over that time. More importantly, his job approval average has ticked back up over 50%, which many speculate is the threshhold for re-election.

Not to get too excited--a poll in August is still just that. But Labor Day is just around the corner, the traditional start of the serious campaign, and the President still has a convention to launch. Even if his "bounce" is only as large as Kerry's was--say, three points--that puts this race outside the margin of error.

Gotta keep workin'. Only a decisive victory is a message. Gotta keep working.

Courtesy RCP

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