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My personal musings about anything that gets on my radar screen--heavily dominated by politics.
2004-01-13
On the Primaries/Caucuses Race. . .
Three trends I've noticed. One, the number of undecideds in almost every poll from every state (see RealClearPolitics) is between 25 and 30%. This is astounding. It also seems to indicate that there will be a great deal of movement soon. Two, Howard the Duck cannot get his numbers any higher--he's peaked. Now, sure, he's still in the lead almost everywhere, but the real question is which way do the undecideds break and where does the support for the dropouts fall. And three, the person doing the best in recent polling, while being nearly invisible, is Wesley Clark. Perhaps a lesson? When the best way to make inroads to this Dem nominating process is to just shut the heck up, you know there's a bit of a problem with the message. | |